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The virus model may seem the 'best' model to explain the observations but that is partly because only a limited number of arguments are available and the 'Terrain' model is not particularly well elucidated.

Please consider, as an alternative, a model of top-down causation whereby organised and meaningful cellular activity is coupled to seasonal changes via an attractor system as described here: https://library-of-atlantis.com/2023/12/06/the-hart-group-model/

The argument that the phenomenon of people getting sick in groups is supportive of a transmission model is flawed, with the evidence actually disproving contagion in any form. The work of Fred Hoyle explains this here: https://library-of-atlantis.com/2023/11/24/the-hart-group/

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